Waiting for delivery of new Mac Mini + separate 32 Gb RAM for self upgrade. New ARM products were announced at WWDC on Monday, and apparently Mini will be the first to upgrade, but who knows when? I can limp along with current Mini for a few months, or bite the bullet now and upgrade. I am not a developer or programmer. Mostly photography/photoshop, etc.
Should I bite the bullet and keep the Mini I ordered or pull the plug and wait for new models?
I can’t really help but having a similar dilemma so keen to hear what people suggest. I’m thinking of switching my current setup to a MBP 16 but it’sa huge cost if arm is going to be worth the wait. My concern is that I use boot camp for occasional gaming and my (limited) understanding suggests that is unlikely on the arm models so it would put me off for the initial models at least.
Fwiw I have a Mac mini 2018 with egpu as my main machine at the moment and I love it, just think moving to as good a spec mbp would give portability too.
Mini boxes were used as loaner dev boxes because it was the easiest & cheapest way to provide an ARM box to developers. But there is no guarantee that Apple’s lowest-end, lowest priced, possibly lowest-margin machine will be updated to ARM in the first wave of new machines. (Apple similarly offered a transition kit in summer 2005 with an Intel Developer Transition System box in a PowerMac case that too was required to be returned to Apple).
When Apple announced the first Intel Macs in January 2006 they were a Macbook Pro and an iMac. A month later they offered the Mac mini with a low-end (and if I remember, vastly underpowered) Intel option. Six months later they completed the transition with new variants of all pre-existing PowerPC Macs.
Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, who has leaked many accurate details over the years due to close ties to sources in Apple’s supply chain has reported that the first ARMacs to come out, at the end of this year, will be a 24" iMac and a 13.3" Macbook Pro.
So I wouldn’t count on being able to buy an ARM-based mini until maybe a year from now.
Should you wait? It’s up to you. But you probably shouldn’t expect to get a mini with an ARM processor this year.
The Developer Transition Kit is not a product. As @bowline says, I would not necessarily take the existence of the Developer Transition Kit as evidence that the Mac mini will be among the first wave of ARM Macs. Indeed, I think that when we do see an ARM mini, it will be rather different than the DTK (different array of ports and a different processor).
You didn’t post much about your current situation, but you did describe it as “limp along”. If you need a new Mac mini now, keep your order for an Intel based one. Don’t count on a ARM mini unless you’re willing to wait up to two years.
As part of the program, you’ll have limited access to a Developer Transition Kit (DTK), which will be shipped to you, for developing and testing your Universal apps. The DTK is owned by Apple and must be returned.
I think I would upgrade. As others have pointed out, the ARM mini will be a while coming. Probably around that time the MacBook Whatevers and iMacs that are coming out first will be due for a refresh, and you could be in the same dilemma.
The first generation or two of Apple hardware products can be a bit… underwhelming is the wrong word, because they’re often awesome (think iPhone), but they are sometimes more aspirational than fully realized (think iPhone, MacBook Air, iPad). That may not be the case with the next generation of Macs, but I think there will be some significant growing pains over the first couple of new Mac generations.
If you’re an early adopter type, that might favour your trying to wait and then get a next generation Mac, but if you feel yourself more toward risk adversity then buying a Mac now is a safe bet that will leave you with a computer that will be working well for years to come. I bought a pretty loaded (2TB SSD was the only non-maxed out part) 16" MBP in January; if I hadn’t then, I would have zero hesitation about buying one today.
Thanks for all your suggestions. I’m going to go ahead with the purchase, and save $400 or so by doing a RAM upgrade on my own. I have 2 Mac Minis now that have served me well, and are on their last legs. I use them between two homes in different countries, where I keep monitors, keyboards, mice, etc. Works great for me.
It will need to have some kind of direct connection to the processor, like a (successor to) PCIe or thunderbolt 3 / USB4. The developer mini doesn’t, but pundits I’ve read expect an AS mini to have some manner of robust connection.
An eGPU will also be dependent on drivers being written that talk to the AS.
There was some discussion about ARM Macs and discrete GPUs on the WWDC episode of ATP. The A series processors have much better integrated GPUs than the relatively anemic Intel ones and that will probably continue (if not get even better) on Apple Silicon. However, if Apple wants to transition the full lineup to ARM, including the Mac Pro, they’ll have to support discrete GPUs eventually. Given that an EGPU essentially involves the same underlying issues as getting an ARM processor to talk to a discrete GPU (plus the added issues of getting it to do it over Thunderbolt rather than PCIe) we might not see EGPU support until we start seeing Macs with discrete graphics.
I’m in the same boat. My MacBook Pro died a few months ago (mid-pandemic) and I decided on a Mac Mini. I think I’m going to get an i7 model before the Apple silicon transition to give Apple some time to work out the kinks. Also would like to still be able to run Windows in Parallels/Boot camp.
Hopefully they will still put out Mac OS releases for intel for some time. My last Mac lasted almost 8 years.