Let me use an analogy – calculators.
When calculators were introduced, there were people who argued that they would both make everyone more efficient, and more accurate, and productive, while at the same time there were some who predicted that they would collapse people‘s ability to think for themselves when it came to mathematics.
An engineer who grew up in a world of slide rules certainly benefited from huge productivity gains when calculators were introduced. But more than once I have heard older engineers lament that although they themselves happily use calculators, younger generations who grew up with them at their side, are so reliant on calculators that they are no longer capable of judging or spotting when an answer provided by a calculator is wrong by multiple orders of magnitude (due to a trivial input error) because they can’t even remotely estimate a ballpark of what the correct number should be.
And why would they develop that judgement? Errors, blatant errors are just blindly accepted because the calculator can’t be wrong. Fortunately with calculations, while they are important, they can be easily checked, and we don’t all necessarily need mental arithmetic to function in daily life. Memorised times tables don’t form the fundamental building blocks of how we think, and more importantly, how we learn to think.
But I worry that there are parallels here with the introduction of generative AI - people who have grown up and worked decades without it, have developed their ability to think, process information, judge, compose an argument and critique it without the constant temptation of a AI toolset that will relieve them of any burden of having to think for themselves. Many are now giddy with excitement at the potential of generative AI to make themselves more ‘productive’.
Will future generations who grow up in a world where there is the constant siren call of generative AI offering effortless answers, which may or may not contain authoritative and convincing bullshit, expend the effort of learning critical thinking skills? Will they see the need to exert all the sweat, energy and hard work that you all have over your lifetimes, to hone your own ability to write, critically think, and refine your own thoughts? To spot the obvious flaws in the output of generative AI?
And why would future generations bother spending the same years or decades developing and honing the skills we all have to create new art, new ideas, if what we create can be effortlessly plagiarised in seconds by others using derivative generative AI?